The Treasury Yield Curve Explained
The Treasury yield curve graphically depicts the yields of Treasury bonds by maturity. The Treasury yield curve can forecast recessions.
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Economic Indicators of a US Recession
The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) Business Cycle Dating Committee (BCDC) — the committee responsible for identifying the dates of peaks and troughs that frame economic recessions and expansions — defines a recession as “a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months.” The slowdown in economic […]
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How Do Recessions Impact Fashion Trends? Beyond the Hemline Index
Your OOTD (outfit of the day) might be inspired by fashion magazines, viral TikToks, or Instagram influencers, but one sneaky factor influencing your fit that may be surprising is the economy. Even if you are not up-to-date with the stock market, the state of the financial system changes fashion trends, and even your hemline. You […]
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How Do Alternative Assets Perform in a Recession?
Inflation in the United States is at a 40-year high, US stocks have fallen 22% this year, and borrowing costs are surging with the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 0.75 percentage points in June 2022. It’s understandable that investors may be concerned about an impending recession. How Do Alternative Assets Perform During Recession? Historically, […]
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What is Stagflation?
Stagflation, a combination of stagnation and inflation, refers to the economic situation where inflation is high, the economic growth rate slows, and unemployment remains high. Stagflation is a term used to describe a stagnant economy, burdened by slow growth and high inflation. This combination is counter-intuitive as higher inflation often goes hand-in-hand with economic growth, […]
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What is a Recession? How Can We Tell if One is Coming?
A recession is a period of economic contraction across an economy that lasts several months. Recessions are categorized by rising unemployment and declining GDPs.
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Three Strong Investments in 2022 For Those With Over $100,000
2022 has been brutal for investors so far. Stocks have entered a bear market, a cryptocurrency sell-off wiped $200 billion in value in a single day, and blue-chip growth names are deep in the red. The S&P 500 has shed 14% of its value so far this year, while the Nasdaq-100 Technology Sector Index is […]
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Should You Be Worried About A “Run on the Bank?”
With near-daily alerts of record inflation and an impending bear market, the risk of banking panic feels pressing. The risk of a bank run is directly related to a loss of confidence in a bank or the financial system as a whole. Bank runs don’t happen very often, but we remember several of the big […]
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What You Need to Know About Investing During a Recession
Although the S&P 500 has historically returned roughly 10% annually over the last century, the markets rarely move in a straight line. In fact, despite the long term trends there have been plenty of down years (and decades) sprinkled throughout. And it’s these economic recession periods that test the mettle of all investors. Investing during […]
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What Happens to Art During a Recession?
There are two dimensions that need to be considered in an analysis of the overall art market: the volume of sales, as an indicator of liquidity, and the prices paid for individual artworks. In order to assess down-market performance, we took a closer look at data from the Great Recession and found the demand for […]
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