What is the January Barometer? The January Barometer is a market hypothesis that suggests the stock market’s performance — specifically the S&P 500 Index — in January predicts the performance for the rest of the year. In other words, positive returns in January would indicate positive future results for the remainder of the calendar year. […]
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What is the Fear and Greed Index? The fear and greed index is a measure of market sentiment designed by CNN Money. The index measures levels of fear and greed seen by investors in the stock market. It’s calculated by taking into account a variety of factors, including stock price movements, trading volume and market […]
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Based on inflation and consumer confidence data, many economists had anticipated lower consumer spending for the holiday season in 2022, but we’ve actually seen the opposite. Despite inflationary pressures, consumers have ramped up spending and slowed savings in the third quarter of 2022. In fact, Thanksgiving weekend spending in 2022 broke records for both online […]
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What is Black Friday? Black Friday is one of the largest shopping days of the year, taking place on the Friday following Thanksgiving Day, when stores tend to offer deep discounts. It has historically been viewed as the beginning of holiday shopping. In recent years, Thanksgiving weekend sales have expanded from just Black Friday to […]
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The Treasury yield curve graphically depicts the yields of Treasury bonds by maturity. The Treasury yield curve can forecast recessions.
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The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) Business Cycle Dating Committee (BCDC) — the committee responsible for identifying the dates of peaks and troughs that frame economic recessions and expansions — defines a recession as “a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months.” The slowdown in economic […]
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Economic indicators are useful tools for understanding economic conditions and forecasts. Economic indicators include GDP, CPI and more.
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